Week 10 of StatMan Picks

Stat Man 

 

STAT MAN FORECAST				WEEK  10	SUN  NOV 14th
	Score	O/U	Line	STAT MAN SAYS	Home	Line	VIS	O/U	(ET)	TV
Thur	ATL  23 - 20	U	ATL	I just liked the home team on turf.	ATL	-1	BAL	43.5	8:20 PM	NFL
AM	DET  27 - 23	O	DET	#16 DET visits #32 BUF (Stat Man Rankings) Combined these teams have a total of 2 wins and 14 losses.  What strikes me the most in the Stats is the disparity with Def Takes - DET #4 and BUF #32.   Additionally BILLS have played very well last 3 weeks and come up empty - LIONS are fighting each week as well.	BUF	-2.5	DET	44	1:00 PM	FOX
	NYJ  24 - 17	O	NYJ	JETS are not going to look past this team and QB M. Sanchez is not prone to give three balls via pics.  This is how BROWNS beat PATS and SAINTS respectively.  Expect NYJ to have game faces on from start to finish.  BET JETS.	CLE	3	NYJ	38	1:00 PM	CBS
	MIN  26 - 23	O	MIN	BEARS had won 4 straight in Soldier Field vs VIKINGS - then in walked QB B. Favre last year to beat them.  This Sunday marks the 99th Game played between these teams .  That said Mr. Favre has had BEARS number almost as long.  Lifetime Record 29-11.   Overtime?	CHI	1	MIN	41	1:00 PM	FOX
	JAC 27  - 20	U	JAC	This should be a high scoring and fun game.  TEXANS can't defend pass #32 allowing 20 TDs in the air - and - JAC don't defend run #28 with 11 TDs on ground.  MORE…JAC has won L3 here by ave score of 30 - 18.	JAC	-1	HOU	50	1:00 PM	CBS
	TEN  22 - 19	U	TEN	#14 MIA v. #15 TEN.   QB C. Pennington gets start against the #1 Def in Sack Yds and #4 in Takes.  Welcome back Chad.  TEN enters with its QB Doubtful and WR K. Britt Out.  But they do have a pretty good RB and now WR R. Moss - Oh My.	MIA	1.5	TEN	43	1:00 PM	CBS
	IND  30 - 20	O	IND	#5 IND v #22 CIN.  BENGALS have lost 5 and should have won 3 of those.  Expect 1st Q and maybe Half to be low score and close - but at some point COLTS will blow this one wide open and leave Orange Peels on the sidelines.   BET COLTS.	IND	-7.5	CIN	47	1:00 PM	CBS
	TAB  24 - 10	U	TAB	How the BUCS are 5-3 is a mystery with their ranking of #24 and allow 24 pts per game.  #30 PANTHERS score 11 and allow 23 per game.  CAR is just too upside down to be competitive - 4th String RB M. Goodson and rookie QB J. Clausen start.  BET UNDER	TAB	-7	CAR	36.5	1:00 PM	FOX
PM	DEN  27 - 17	O	DEN	2001 - 2009 CHIEFS have won only once in DEN - last yr.  The boys from the wheat land just can not breath up in the Rockies - or perhaps it’s the water.  Exception - KC gets 2 TDs from turnovers or runback in 1st 20 min deflating DEN bubble.	DEN	1	KAN	42	4:05 PM	CBS
	SF  30  - 17	O	SF	#26 SF v #10 STL.  NFC West may be won with a loosing record.  History is all 49ers with the last 2 games here 30 - 12 ave score.  RAMS just don't like grass in California.	SF	-6	STL	38	4:15 PM	FOX
	NYG  30 - 17	O	NYG	Like how these Div Games get same predictive outcome?  Last two years ave score 32 - 19 and COWBOYS came with winning team then.	NYG	-15	DAL	45	4:15 PM	FOX
	ARI 24 - 20	O	ARI	There is not a team in NFC West that is not had major player set backs and or rebuilding key positions.   AndLast 2 games ave score  32 - 20.  but could not do three in row at same score.	ARI	-3	SEA	41	4:15 PM	FOX
SUN N	PIT  30 - 20	O	PIT	Sun Night in Steel Town and the lights will be on for the visiting PATRIOTS.  For a non-division game there is no love between these play-off foes.  PITs #1 Def Takes will be the difference against inexperience PATS playmakers (T. Brady excluded).   BET OVER	PIT	-5	NEP	45	8:20 PM	NBC
MON	PHI  33 - 20	O	PHI	#10 PHI v #19 WAS and for these rivals each seems to win at the others place of residence.  EAGLES won and covered last 3 played in WAS - but their ex-QB is the one that beat them.  SKINS have too many personal issues to weather EAGLE raid on this Mon Night.	WAS	3	PHI	42	8:30 PM	ESN
	Byes:    Chargers, Raiders, Packers, Saints              BEST PICKS IN HIGHLIGHT